Sunday, May 1, 2011

Osama bin Laden dead? What next?

So - forgive me for not posting often in the past few weeks, much in my life has been up in the air. What I was planning on writing on was a fairly lengthy set of thoughts about the Jasmine "protests" in China. Perhaps, though, with recent events, I should shorten those thoughts and save them for another day.

Osama bin Laden is dead supposedly. I say supposedly because we know so little about his death that I want a little more to go on than speculation. However, while I want more, I tend to think that the government would at least try with some care to not jump the gun on an announcement like this. Don't get me wrong, we have jumped the gun before, but the very fact that it happened last week and we have the body in custody tells me that - instead of just making an announcement - there was some care spent in making sure that it really was him. We shall see what comes of the DNA test. My real questions revolve around what will happen now. How will this be spun by Obama, and the various political groups in the US - as well as what will happen internationally. What will happen with Al Qaeda. Etc. An event like this is always considered an opportunity. Almost every group out there that has political power will try to use this in some way. Perhaps it will be to put down a different political party, or put themselves up in the public eye, or to motivate followers to radical action. Perhaps it will be used differently - I'm just excited to see what will happen.

With the various rumors out there about what happened (predator drone, ground forces in a mansion, etc.) I think STRATFOR is one of the best resources for current intelligence and analysis (much better than many news sources), so here is the link to what STRATFOR has to say.

Red Alert: Osama bin Laden Killed | STRATFOR

- Sean

 Edit: Above I stated that he was killed last week and it was only announced today (having gotten that information off of several news sites). Having watched President Obama's address on the matter, it seems that may be incorrect. He ordered the operation last week, but bin Laden was killed today - when the operation actually took place. For your convenience, here is the video. Thanks for reading.